Awareness of unawareness: A theory of decision making in the face of ignorance
نویسندگان
چکیده
In the wake of growing awareness, decision makers anticipate that they might become aware of material possibilities and ideas that, in their current state of ignorance, are unimaginable. This anticipation manifests itself in their choice behavior. This paper models this awareness of unawareness and axiomatizes a probabilistic sophisticated representation of beliefs about ignorance and subjective expected utility representation, in an enriched framework, that assigns utility to the unknown while maintaining, in both instances, the flavor of reverse Bayesianism of Karni and Vierø (2013, 2014).
منابع مشابه
Unawareness and Partitional Information Structures
We claim ̄rst that simple uncertainty is not an adequate model of a subject's ignorance, because a major component of it is the inability to give a complete description of the states of the world, and we provide a formal model of unawareness. In Modica and Rustichini (1994) we showed a di±culty in the project, namely that without weakening of the inference rules of the logic one would face the ...
متن کاملDecision making framework for utsourcing activities in the banking system
The outsourcing of financial services has been growing during last decades.Inspite of expanding managers awareness about this subject,most of outsourcing projects have been lost due to qualifative decision critera and ignorance of environmental circumstances. The purpose of research is to design a model for making decision about outaourcing activities in banking system.From the point of purpos...
متن کاملتصمیمگیری برای اهدای کلیه به خویشاوند: یک تحلیل درونمایه
Background & Aim: Although the number of kidney donors is increasing in the country, few relatives decide to donate. Decision making on kidney donation to a relative faces many challenges, while how to make this decision is still ambiguous. The aim of the present study was to explore the way of decision making about kidney donation to a relative. Methods & Materials: The present study was a qu...
متن کاملApplication of Rough Set Theory in Data Mining for Decision Support Systems (DSSs)
Decision support systems (DSSs) are prevalent information systems for decision making in many competitive business environments. In a DSS, decision making process is intimately related to some factors which determine the quality of information systems and their related products. Traditional approaches to data analysis usually cannot be implemented in sophisticated Companies, where managers ne...
متن کاملAn extended hesitant group decision-making technique based on the prospect theory for emergency situations
Throughout the present manuscript, we are going to introduce a novel group emergency decision-making technique in which the application of prospect theory explains the psychological behaviour of the decision maker who is affected by the hesitancy and uncertainty of cognition in decision making problems.\Instead of usual aggregation procedure, we implement here a new fusion technique that ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- J. Economic Theory
دوره 168 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2017